Trends in international climate research since the IPCC’s latest report
One of the trends of climate research is that it increasingly spreads into other areas than natural science, technology and economics. Social and humanistic research has increasingly begun to address the consequences for society and humans.
Climate research in recent years has to a very great degree supported the overall conclusions of the IPCC’s latest synthesis report: that global warming is a reality, and that a significant factor is the emission of greenhouse gases as a result of human activities. If anything, there is a trend towards a view that the IPCC’s predictions were too cautious. One example is the Arctic sea ice, which in recent years has seen seasonal melting at a far greater speed than was predicted in the IPCC’s latest synthesis report. The same applies to the amount of ice that has melted from the Greenland ice sheet.
Another example is the annual Global Carbon Budget (an estimate of the quantity of greenhouse gases emitted, and how much is being absorbed by the sea or disappearing from the atmosphere by other means), which is compiled by the Global Carbon Project. In September 2008 the budget for 2007 was published. It showed that the quantity of greenhouses gases is increasing faster than in even the most carbon-intensive scenario in the IPCC’s standard scenarios from 2001. At present work is being carried out in scientific circles on new standard scenarios for the IPCC’s next report, which is to show in particular how global greenhouse gas emissions and thereby global warming can be restricted.
Another trend is for climate research increasingly to spread into areas other than natural science, technology and economics. At the same time as global warming has become the subject of global political and commercial focus, social and humanistic research has increasingly begun to address the consequences of a changing climate for society and humans.
http://en.cop15.dk/climate+facts/research/trends+in+international+climate+research
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